Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.008881 0.010486 0.012422 0.014973 0.018304 0.022600 0.028717
2025-08-10 0.006628 0.008426 0.010844 0.014459 0.019969 0.028518 0.043902
2025-08-17 0.005323 0.007066 0.009570 0.013628 0.020497 0.032709 0.059352
2025-08-24 0.004502 0.006166 0.008672 0.012994 0.020945 0.036815 0.078244
2025-08-31 0.004088 0.005771 0.008426 0.013298 0.023087 0.045326 0.117831
2025-09-07 0.003650 0.005262 0.007891 0.012938 0.023776 0.051084 0.159546
2025-09-14 0.003271 0.004793 0.007341 0.012412 0.023916 0.055613 0.207492
2025-09-21 0.003032 0.004521 0.007086 0.012400 0.025231 0.064583 0.306769
2025-09-28 0.002900 0.004412 0.007100 0.012938 0.028142 0.081646 0.560601
2025-10-05 0.002847 0.004428 0.007346 0.014039 0.033153 0.113744 1.464088
2025-10-12 0.002729 0.004315 0.007322 0.014513 0.036599 0.145363 3.981970
2025-10-19 0.002560 0.004091 0.007046 0.014309 0.037753 0.167015 9.977334
2025-10-26 0.002407 0.003899 0.006842 0.014338 0.040178 0.207331 83.606447
2025-11-02 0.002229 0.003643 0.006478 0.013879 0.040629 0.236421 20485.814922
2025-11-09 0.002047 0.003364 0.006029 0.013095 0.039398 0.248155 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001898 0.003138 0.005670 0.012494 0.038719 0.266629 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001827 0.003057 0.005623 0.012782 0.042293 0.360336 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001721 0.002898 0.005382 0.012441 0.042684 0.413416 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001615 0.002732 0.005107 0.011942 0.042043 0.448257 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001548 0.002640 0.004993 0.011931 0.044085 0.570377 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001516 0.002615 0.005037 0.012441 0.049643 0.909852 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001511 0.002648 0.005222 0.013483 0.059985 2.024840 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001475 0.002612 0.005234 0.013931 0.066992 3.981441 NaN